'''DEFINITION'''

The OMI_EXTREME_SST_IBI_sst_mean_and_anomaly_obs indicator is based on the computation of the 99th and the 1st percentiles from in situ data (observations). It is computed for the variable sea surface temperature measured by in situ buoys at depths between 0 and 5 meters. The use of percentiles instead of annual maximum and minimum values, makes this extremes study less affected by individual data measurement errors. The percentiles are temporally averaged, and the spatial evolution is displayed, jointly with the anomaly in the target year. This study of extreme variability was first applied to sea level variable (Pérez Gómez et al 2016) and then extended to other essential variables, sea surface temperature and significant wave height (Pérez Gómez et al 2018).

'''CONTEXT'''

Sea surface temperature (SST) is one of the essential ocean variables affected by climate change (mean SST trends, SST spatial and interannual variability, and extreme events). In Europe, several studies show warming trends in mean SST for the last years (von Schuckmann, 2016; IPCC, 2021, 2022). An exception seems to be the North Atlantic, where, in contrast, anomalous cold conditions have been observed since 2014 (Mulet et al., 2018; Dubois et al. 2018; IPCC 2021, 2022). Extremes may have a stronger direct influence in population dynamics and biodiversity. According to Alexander et al. 2018 the observed warming trend will continue during the 21st Century and this can result in exceptionally large warm extremes. Monitoring the evolution of sea surface temperature extremes is, therefore, crucial.

The Iberia Biscay Ireland area is characterized by a great complexity in terms of processes that take place in it. The sea surface temperature varies depending on the latitude with higher values to the South. In this area, the clear warming trend observed in other European Seas is not so evident. The northwest part is influenced by the refreshing trend in the North Atlantic, and a mild warming trend has been observed in the last decade (Pisano et al. 2020).

'''COPERNICUS MARINE SERVICE KEY FINDINGS'''

The mean 99th percentiles showed in the area present a range from 16-21ºC in the Southwest of the British Isles and the English Channel, 21-22ºC in the Galician Coast, 22-24ºC in the South of Bay of Biscay and the Gulf of Cadiz to 24.5ºC in the Canary Island. The standard deviations are between 0.6ºC and 1.8ºC in the Southwest of the British Isles and the English Channel and between 0.6ºC and 1.3ºC in the south of Bay of Biscay with a narrow margin in the rest of the areas (0.5-0.8ºC).

Results for this year show a general positive anomaly in all the areas reaching +0.5ºC in the Gulf of Cadiz, and +1.3ºC in the Southwest of the British Isles and the English Channel inside the std margin in these areas. Only one coastal stations in the Irish Sea present a low negative anomaly (-0.4ºC). More significant are the positve anomalies found in the other areas: +1.2ºC in the South of Bay of Biscay +1.5º in the Canary Island, 2.2ºC in the Galician Coast, all of them out of the std margin of the respective areas.

'''DOI (product):'''

https://doi.org/10.48670/moi-00255